The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has raised a La Niña watch, indicating the possibility of the cool phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) developing starting in June.
La Niña is characterized by cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific and is associated with above-normal rainfall, which can lead to flooding and landslides.
PAGASA’s model forecasts show an increasing probability of La Niña developing in the coming months. The pre-development of La Niña may also delay the onset of the rainy season.
It is important to note that this alert comes as the El Niño phenomenon shows signs of weakening and neutral conditions are expected to return in April-May-June 2024.
PAGASA also warns that by the end of this month, 30 provinces, with 25 in Luzon and five in the Visayas, could face meteorological drought conditions. An additional 22 provinces may experience dry spells, while 15 others could encounter dry conditions.
Currently, 24 provinces have already undergone drought as of February’s end. Due to warmer temperatures, the government’s El Niño task force predicts up to 80 provinces may be affected by El Niño, especially in April and May.
Source: PhilNews24 | March 8, 2024
